Introduction

In the latest updates from international forecasting models, TC BIPARJOY, currently classified as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS), is expected to intensify into an Extreme Severe Cyclonic Storm (ESCS) within the next 24 hours. This cyclonic storm, located approximately 840 km south of Karachi, is moving in a north-northeastward direction, with winds reaching 130-140 km/h and gusts of up to 150 km/h. The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) has reported that the storm is likely to follow one of three potential tracks, all of which may impact the coastal areas of Pakistan.

Impending Impacts

The anticipated impacts of TC BIPARJOY are of great concern, with heavy rains, thunderstorms, and strong winds expected to affect the south and southeast regions of Sindh, including Karachi, Thatta, Sujawal, Badin, Tharparkar, and Mirpurkhas. These weather conditions are expected to commence from the evening of June 13 onwards. The cyclone's powerful winds may cause damage to weak structures, while the storm surge and urban flooding along the coast pose a significant risk to coastal communities. Additionally, the sea conditions are expected to become rough to very rough, with high-intensity squalls that will make it unsafe for fishermen to venture out into open waters.

Proactive Measures

In response to the imminent threat, the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) is actively coordinating with the PMD, PDMA Sindh & Balochistan, Pakistan Navy, Pakistan Maritime Security Authority (PMSA), and Pakistan Coast Guards (PCG). These organizations are issuing advisories and guidelines to all concerned stakeholders at the national and provincial levels to undertake proactive preparedness and mitigation measures. The NDMA's National Emergency Operations Center (NEOC) is continuously monitoring the situation and disseminating critical information to stakeholders and the public through web-based projections of BIPARJOY's projected tracks and impacts on coastal areas.

 Call to Action

With the potential risks posed by TC BIPARJOY, the NDMA urges the public to stay informed and heed the official updates and warnings issued by relevant authorities. By following the guidance provided, individuals can protect themselves and their properties from the possible impacts of this severe cyclonic storm.

Cyclone BIPARJOY's Current Status

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm (VSCS) BIPARJOY, situated over the east-central Arabian Sea, has maintained its intensity over the past 12 hours. The storm has been tracking north-north-eastward and is currently positioned at Latitude 16.7°N and Longitude 66.4°E. It is located approximately 910 km south of Karachi, 890 km south of Thatta, and 990 km southeast of Ormara. The cyclone's maximum sustained surface winds are recorded at 120-130 km/h, with gusts reaching 150 km/h. Favorable environmental conditions, such as a sea surface temperature of 30-32°C, low vertical wind shear, and upper-level divergence, are expected to contribute to the system's further intensification.

Conclusion

As TC BIPARJOY escalates into an Extreme Severe Cyclonic Storm, the coastal areas of Pakistan are on high alert. It is imperative for the public to remain vigilant and follow the official updates and warnings issued by the relevant authorities. By staying informed and taking necessary precautions, individuals can mitigate the potential risks associated with this cyclone and ensure their safety and the protection of their properties. The coordinated efforts of organizations such as NDMA, PMD, PDMA Sindh & Balochistan, Pakistan Navy, PMSA, and PCG demonstrate the commitment to proactive preparedness and prompt response to natural disasters.

Credits: https://cms.ndma.gov.pk/page/cyclone  

About the Author: Maryam Eqan is an environmentalist and working to empower children, youth and women to fight the triple planetary crisis.