The
Average Sea Level is expected to rise at least a foot, and worst-case scenario
up to EIGHT feet! It won’t stop there! Sea level has risen 8-9 inches since
1880 and the rate is only accelerating.
Sea
Level Rise is primarily driven by two factors related to climate change. The
first factor is “thermal expansion” – as ocean temperatures rise, the water
expands. The second factor is melting of land ice (ice sheets and glaciers),
which adds water to the world’s oceans. Rate of global sea level rise is increasing.
Global
sea level has risen by about 8 inches since scientific record keeping began in
1880. The rate of global sea level rise has increased in recent decades. The
current rate is a little more than an inch per decade.
Rising
global sea level is a critical consequence of climate change. As ocean waters
warm, they expand. Also, as air temperatures warm, water from melting ice
sheets, polar ice caps, and glaciers enters into our ocean basins.
Global
average sea level has risen by about 8 inches (about 21 cm) since 1900, with
about 3 of those inches (about 7.5 cm) occurring since 1993. Human-caused
climate change has made a substantial contribution to sea level rise since
1900, contributing to a rate of rise greater than during any preceding century
in at least 2,800 years.
In addition to the global average sea level
rise, local sea level rise – sometimes called “relative sea level rise” –
happens at different rates in different places. Local sea level rise is
affected by the global sea level rise, but also by local land motions, and the
effects of tides, currents, and winds. Many places along the United States
coast have seen their local sea levels rise faster than the average global
rate. As sea levels have risen, the number of tidal floods each year that cause
minor impacts, often called “nuisance floods,” have increased 5- to 10-fold
since the 1960s in several U.S. coastal cities (very high confidence). Rates of
increase are accelerating in over 25 Atlantic and Gulf Coast cities (very high
confidence).
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